US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?November 5100%YesNoNovember 699%▲1%YesNo$3.9M Vol · Jan 1, 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 3166%▼6%YesNoDecember 3137%▼4%YesNo+2 more outcomes$48.9M Vol · Jan 1, 2027
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)11%▼1%YesNo1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium10%▲1%YesNo+4 more outcomes$1.6M Vol · Jan 1, 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?December 3128%▼2%YesNoNovember 3017%▼2%YesNo$11.2M Vol · Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 202645%YesNoNovember 30, 202628%YesNo$1.5M Vol · Dec 31, 2026
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?No Meeting by December 3155%▲1%YesNoQatar17%▼1%YesNo+17 more outcomes$256K Vol · Dec 31, 2026
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?No Return to Normal Traffic in 202692%▲1%YesNoDecember7%▼1%YesNo+2 more outcomes$633K Vol · Feb 1, 2027
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Abbas Araghchi41%▲1%YesNoSteve Witkoff40%▼1%YesNo+22 more outcomes$2.1M Vol · Jan 1, 2027
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3177%YesNoNovember 3070%YesNo+3 more outcomes$462 Vol · Dec 31, 2026