Next Senate Majority Leader?Chuck Schumer92%▲8%Yes 92¢No 8.5¢Brian Schatz3%▼1%Yes 3.4¢No 97¢+61 more outcomes$326K Vol · $39K 24h · Nov 4, 2026
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryDemocrats 14-16%78%▼4%Yes 78¢No 22¢Other46%Yes 46¢No 55¢+12 more outcomes$452K Vol · $28K 24h · Nov 4, 2026
Speaker of the House after the midterms?Hakeem Jeffries94%▼1%Yes 94¢No 6.2¢Katherine Clark3%Yes 3.4¢No 97¢+26 more outcomes$54K Vol · $9.9K 24h · Nov 4, 2026
Government shutdown by...?December 3142%▲4%Yes 42¢No 58¢December 1241%▲10%Yes 41¢No 59¢$43K Vol · $8.5K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)4499%▼1%Yes 99¢No 1.5¢451%Yes 1.1¢No 99¢+1 more outcomes$975K Vol · $8.2K 24h · Nov 3, 2026
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 202833%Yes 33¢No 68¢December 31, 202721%▲1%Yes 21¢No 79¢+2 more outcomes$626K Vol · $2.0K 24h · Jan 1, 2029
2026 Midterms: House Turnout120-125m96%▲6%Yes 96¢No 4.1¢115-120m5%▼4%Yes 4.6¢No 95¢+10 more outcomes$72K Vol · $1.5K 24h · Nov 4, 2026
How many Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?5-925%▲9%Yes 25¢No 76¢0-424%▲15%Yes 24¢No 77¢+5 more outcomes$11K Vol · $1.5K 24h · Jan 1, 2028
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Raphael Warnock4%Yes 4.2¢No 96¢Mark Warner4%Yes 4.0¢No 96¢+13 more outcomes$530K Vol · $1.5K 24h · Jan 2, 2027
Next US Senate Minority Leader?John Thune93%▲5%Yes 93¢No 7.5¢Person D50%Yes 50¢No 50¢+57 more outcomes$40K Vol · $1.3K 24h · Jan 3, 2027
How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?No vote28%▼5%Yes 28¢No 73¢215-21920%▼4%Yes 20¢No 80¢+6 more outcomes$1.2K Vol · $1.1K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?136%Yes 36¢No 64¢232%Yes 32¢No 69¢+2 more outcomes$20K Vol · $598 24h · Jan 1, 2028
Dem sweep & US stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by end of 2027?Dem sweep; No US stake70%Yes 70¢No 30¢Dem sweep; US stake16%▼12%Yes 16¢No 84¢$24K Vol · $412 24h · Jan 1, 2028
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?3%Yes 3.1¢No 97¢$76K Vol · $249 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Which bills will become law in 2026?Export-control chip security42%▼2%Yes 42¢No 59¢AI-chip export licensing14%▼1%Yes 14¢No 86¢+12 more outcomes$205K Vol · $194 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?44%Yes 44¢No 56¢$3.5K Vol · $83.60 24h · Jan 1, 2027
House Minority Leader of the next Congress?Jim Jordan79%▲8%Yes 79¢No 22¢Person E50%Yes 50¢No 50¢+25 more outcomes$6.8K Vol · $75.07 24h · Nov 4, 2026
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?4%Yes 3.9¢No 96¢$1.9M Vol · $63.24 24h · Jan 4, 2027
New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?June 30, 202765%Yes 65¢No 35¢March 31, 202725%▲1%Yes 25¢No 75¢+1 more outcomes$2.4K Vol · $61.40 24h · Jul 1, 2027
Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in on Jan 3, 2027?15%Yes 15¢No 85¢$594 Vol · $55.70 24h · Jan 4, 2027