$68K Vol · $66K 24h · Nov 9, 2026
Weather · climate · Weather & Science
$175K Vol · $590 24h · $4.8K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
2.25–2.5
32%▲ 5%
69% chance
$84K Vol · Ends Apr 1, 2027
67%
▼ 3%
32%
▲ 5%
3%
$84K Vol · $8.01 24h · $2.0K liquidity
Yes 32¢
32%
No 69¢
69%
This market resolves "Yes" if the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño is at least +2.25°C and below +2.5°C. Otherwise, it resolves "No". The peak RONI is the single highest Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month seasons ASO 2026, SON 2026, OND 2026, NDJ 2026-27, and DJF 2026-27, as reported in official NOAA CPC RONI updates (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/). The first published RONI value for each listed season is final and governs resolution; no subsequent revision to a season's value will change the outcome once that season's first value has been published. If CPC's RONI dataset is permanently discontinued, other information from NOAA may be used.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not Elyodds accounts.
