$2.1M Vol · $303K 24h · Nov 9, 2026
Recurring · Weather · Climate & Science
$1.5M Vol · $59.65 24h · $2.4K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
17–19
34%
66% chance
$294K Vol · Ends Jan 8, 2027
63%
▲ 1%
34%
4%
3%
$294K Vol · $13.57 24h · $353 liquidity
Yes 34¢
34%
No 66¢
66%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not Elyodds accounts.
